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The Potential Impact of Pakistan’s Upcoming Elections on Political Unrest and Military Influence.

The February 8 elections are unlikely to bring stability or reduce political confrontation in Pakistan in the foreseeable future.

As Pakistan gears up for its 14th general election on February 8, 2024, recent developments, such as the denial of the ‘bat’ symbol to Imran Khan’s Pakistan Tehrik-e-Insaf (PTI) party by the Supreme Court, have raised concerns about the fairness of the electoral process. The postponement of elections and the controversy surrounding the symbol have added to doubts about the credibility of the upcoming polls.

The constitutional violation of delaying elections beyond the stipulated 60 days from the last National Assembly dissolution has been noted. Despite challenges, three major political parties—Pakistan Muslim League (Nawaz), People’s Party of Pakistan, and Pakistan Tehrik-e-Insaf—remain key players in the political landscape.

The PTI, facing setbacks like the loss of its ‘bat’ symbol, continues to enjoy popularity, particularly in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa. Imran Khan’s narrative of a ‘foreign conspiracy’ and ‘military abandonment’ has resonated with his supporters, despite attempts to tarnish his image. The Karachi factor, with the Muhajir Quami Movement seeking to offset PTI’s influence, adds complexity to the electoral landscape.

The Army’s role remains pivotal, with General Asim Munir aiming to prevent PTI from securing a majority. The economic challenges persist, with the IMF releasing a second tranche of its loan, but fiscal deficits, high defense expenditures, and food inflation continue to plague the nation.

In this uncertain environment, the February 8 elections are unlikely to bring stability or alleviate political tensions in Pakistan.

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